No, Ron Paul is not a threat to win the Iowa Caucuses (redstate)
It doesn’t matter what you think the new Public Policy Polling result says. It
doesn’t matter how many gleeful Democrats are writing up news stories claiming
it’s true. It’s not.
Ron Paul, King of Earmarks, Full Metal Truther, and Archbishop of the anti-
American Gnostic Constitutionalists, is not going to win the Iowa caucuses or
even get close for one simple reason.
He wins people who don’t vote, but the Iowa caucuses only admit Republicans.
Every time, and I mean _every time_, I bring up the fact that the Iowa
Caucuses are closed, the reply is that “You can register up to the day of the
caucuses to participate.” That’s true. But if Paul is not able to motivate his
supporters to register, and if his people aren’t actually committed to caucus
for Paul, then his support is soft, and isn’t going to show up.
Look at the PPP poll. The partisan breakdown is huge. Among Republicans, it’s
Newt Gingrich 25, Ron Paul 17. Among Independents it’s Ron Paul 35, and Newt
Gingrich in _fourth_ at 12. Similar story among Democrats: Ron Paul 28, Newt
Gingrich in third at 18.
Paul does worse among TEA partiers …
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